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More Than One Trap: Problematic Interpretations and Overlooked Lessons from Thucydides

Abstract:
Popular rendition of the so-called Thucydides’ Trap focuses excessively on only one possible explanation of interstate wars to the exclusion of others. It also commits various acts of commission and omission that threaten the validity of its central proposition. This essay reviews some of the major problems pertaining to the logic of inquiry characteristic to this genre of analysis, its interpretation of historical evidence, and its neglect of alternative explanations of war – even those that Thucydides had written about in his account. There is a danger of self-fulfilling prophecy to the extent that leaders in Beijing and Washington are inclined to believe in an analogy to an ancient war that happened some 2500\xa0years ago. Conventional invocations of Thucydides’ Trap fail to recognize that there are several possible pathways to war. Because they offer only a structural explanation based on interstate power shifts, they give short shrift to the role of human agency and fail to attend sufficiently to what leaders can do to avoid conflict.
Author Listing: Steve Chan
Volume: 24
Pages: 11-24
DOI: 10.1007/S11366-018-9583-2
Language: English
Journal: Journal of Chinese Political Science

Journal of Chinese Political Science

J CHIN POLIT SCI

影响因子:3.5
是否综述期刊:否
是否OA:否
是否预警:不在预警名单内
发行时间:-
ISSN:1080-6954
发刊频率:4 issues per year
收录数据库:Scopus收录
出版国家/地区:-
出版社:Springer Nature

期刊介绍

Journal of Chinese Political Science (JCPS) is a refereed academic journal that publishes theoretical, policy, and empirical research articles on Chinese politics across the whole spectrum of political science, with emphasis on Chinese domestic politics and foreign policy in comparative perspectives. However, JCPS also welcomes manuscripts on different aspects of contemporary China when these relate closely to Chinese politics, political economy, political culture, reform and opening, development, the military, law and legal system, foreign relations, and other important issues of political significance.

《中国政治学杂志》是一份学术期刊,主要发表有关中国政治的理论、政策和实证研究文章,涉及政治学的各个领域,重点是从比较的角度研究中国的国内政治和外交政策。然而,JCPS也欢迎与中国政治、政治经济、政治文化、改革开放、发展、军事、法律和法律的、对外关系和其他重要政治问题密切相关的当代中国不同方面的稿件。

年发文量 23
国人发稿量 14
国人发文占比 61.11%
自引率 17.1%
平均录取率 -
平均审稿周期 -
版面费 US$2990
偏重研究方向 Multiple-
期刊官网 https://www.springer.com/11366/?utm_medium=display&utm_source=letpub&utm_content=text_link&utm_term=null&utm_campaign=HSSR_11366_AWA1_CN_CNPL_letpb_mp
投稿链接 https://www.editorialmanager.com/jcps

质量指标占比

研究类文章占比 OA被引用占比 撤稿占比 出版后修正文章占比
100.00% 13.83% 0.00% 2.50%

相关指数

影响因子
影响因子
年发文量
自引率
Cite Score

预警情况

时间 预警情况
2025年03月发布的2025版 不在预警名单中
2024年02月发布的2024版 不在预警名单中
2023年01月发布的2023版 不在预警名单中
2021年12月发布的2021版 不在预警名单中
2020年12月发布的2020版 不在预警名单中

JCR分区 WOS分区等级:Q1区

版本 按学科 分区
WOS期刊SCI分区
(2021-2022年最新版)
AREA STUDIES Q1
POLITICAL SCIENCE Q1

中科院分区

版本 大类学科 小类学科 Top期刊 综述期刊
法学
2区
AREA STUDIES
地域研究
1区
POLITICAL SCIENCE
政治学
3区
2021年12月
升级版
法学
3区
AREA STUDIES
地域研究
3区
POLITICAL SCIENCE
政治学
4区
2020年12月
旧的升级版
法学
4区
POLITICAL SCIENCE
政治学
4区
2022年12月
最新升级版
社会学
1区
AREA STUDIES
地域研究
1区
POLITICAL SCIENCE
政治学
2区